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Zaldir

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    naesiblonda - Formal warning issued

    in Formal Warnings and Bans

    Posted

    naesiblonda has received a formal warning. This user has now received 1 formal warnings. The warning was given for the following reason:

     

    Re-uploading a file that was binned due to lacking permission.

     

     

     

    Reference

    This warning was issued for what took place here

     

     

     

    Restrictions in place

    As part of the warning, naesiblonda has had the following restrictions placed on his or her account:

     

    This user cannot upload files for 14 days

     

     

     

    Important links:

    Our terms of service

    Obama: Worst president in the last 100 years

    in Debates

    Posted

    I guess we just disagree on some fundamental levels (and likely agree on others), so it is unlikely that we will ever sway the other in any way when it comes to these topics. As you say, we all have our biases and the two of us have biases and backgrounds that make us see things differently. And that's alright, I've said my piece.

    What is your hobby?

    in Off-Topic

    Posted

    Game development. Hopefully it won't remain a hobby forever. :laugh:

     

    But gaming is the hobby I spend the most time on, which in turn makes game development remain a hobby for even longer. Self discipline is tough...

    Obama: Worst president in the last 100 years

    in Debates

    Posted

    When someone says "The Democrats took the word GOD out of the Pledge of Allegiance at the Democrat National Convention." it paints a clear picture of what their intent is - to twist the truth ever so slightly so that it seems worse than it really is. If he had wanted to be truthful he would have, as he did later, said "Some Democrats took out...". But no, he said "The Democrats", which does not mean one or two, but the party as a whole. That is misleading. Not a lie, but misleading, exactly as Factcheck titled the article. Factcheck.org does not just deal with lies, but also misleading statements which is exactly what that tweet is.

     

    Trump is not "always a liar", but he lies all the time, even more so than the usual politician who in general also lies all the time. The difference is the frequency of lying, not whether or not they are lying.

     

    ---

     

    That graph does indeed show predicted number of deaths, due to the reporting of deaths being very slow. Though, as you can see here, in a very similar graph:

     

    withandwithoutweighting.png

     

    The reported and predicted numbers match up very well, with the last few weeks being off due to reporting of deaths taking weeks. There is no reason to believe that the predicted number from the last few weeks will not match as well as it has the last few months.

     

    It is unlikely that so many excess deaths are due to "normal" reasons, and there is no reason to doubt that these excess deaths are a result of COVID-19. Yes there are comorbidities, but those would have been present in earlier years as well, meaning that the excess deaths are highly probable to be the result of COVID-19. When the death counts have been so stable over the years it would be ignorant or disingenious to say that these excess deaths are not the result of COVID-19.

    Obama: Worst president in the last 100 years

    in Debates

    Posted

    Didn't really plan to jump in here, but here goes...

    Please provide actual proof of any of these "lies" that Trump has told.

    A link was already given by OldSaltyCroc. That website provides references for all the data.

    More importantly though:

    Also, before continuing the myths about the current pandemic you may want to carefully read through the following page:
    https://www.cdc.gov/...eekly/index.htm
    In other words the current pandemic is not actually any worse than previous years, and in those years we did not have lockdowns, and restrictions, nor the decimation of economies.

     


    weeklyexcessdeaths.png

     

     

    That image (data) clearly shows that deaths have increased drastically since COVID-19 hit the US. Compare April 2020 to April 2017, 2018, 2019 - there's a huge difference (January 2018 was the height of the flu epidemic in the US, for reference). There is a huge death spike, even when restrictions were finally put in place.

     

    Going back to the specific page you linked to, COVID-19 accounts for ~10% of all deaths in the US recently. When a new, mostly unknown virus accounts for such a large percentage of deaths there is reasonable call for concern. Had there not been a lockdown and other measures there would have been more deaths.

     

    This is quite a typical resonse to active measures being taken. Measures were taken to reduce the number of deaths. People see that not as many died as was predicted/feared. They then question why the measures were put into action to begin with, without considering that the reason the death toll did not reach the predicted number is exactly because measures to fight the epidemic were taken.

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